$COP: Production beat + $4.2B FCF—here’s how the stock has historically moved next day
How COP has reacted before
| Report | Next-day move |
|---|---|
| Feb 2026 | +2.5% |
| May 2025 | +1.3% |
| Feb 2025 | -1.6% |
| Oct 2024 | -1.6% |
Median absolute move 1.6% · higher 2 of 4 · n=4
ConocoPhillips ($COP) reports it exceeded production guidance, generated $4.2 billion in free cash flow, and plans to increase shareholder distributions this year.
How $COP has reacted to earnings
| Report | Next-day |
|---|---|
| Feb 2026 | +2.5% |
| May 2025 | +1.3% |
| Feb 2025 | -1.6% |
| Oct 2024 | -1.6% |
Base rate from these 4 precedents (next-day move):
- Median absolute next-day move: 1.6%
- Higher: 2 of 4
- Biggest up: +2.5%
- Biggest down: -1.6%