Catalyst-driven setups, each backed by how the stock has actually moved after similar events.
WolfeResearch downgrades Illinois Tool Works (ITW) to Underperform with a $286.00 target. Historically, ITW’s median absolute move around recent analyst actions is 0.7%, finishing higher 5 of 10 times.
Wolfe Research downgrades Vontier ($VNT) to Outperform with a $43.00 price target. Here’s how $VNT has historically moved around recent analyst actions: median absolute move 1.0%, higher 7 of 11 sessions.
Simply Good Foods ($SMPL) reported a 6.3% sales decline while management stayed optimistic. Here’s how the stock has historically moved the next day after recent earnings: median absolute move 5.8%, higher 2 of 6.
Byrna Technologies reported Q2 revenue of $16.4 million and outlined urgent changes to drive growth. Historically, $BYRN’s median absolute next-day move after earnings is 15.1%, with shares higher 4 of 8 times.
Northland Capital upgrades Better Home & Finance Holding (BETR) to Outperform. Historically, across 5 recent analyst-action sessions, BETR’s median absolute move was 8.8%, finishing higher 3 of 5 times.
Argus Research downgrades Lennar (LEN) with a $108.00 price target. Historically, LEN’s median absolute session move around recent analyst actions is 2.0%, finishing higher 5 of 9 times.
Deutsche Bank downgrades Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) with a $385 price target. Here’s how DPZ has historically moved around recent analyst actions: median 2.0% absolute move; higher 6 of 12 sessions.
Deutsche Bank downgrades Visteon ($VC) and sets a $132 price target. Historically, $VC’s median absolute move around recent analyst actions is 1.4%, finishing higher 3 of 10 times.
Deutsche Bank downgrades MP Materials (MP) with a $61 price target. Historically, MP has finished higher 8 of the last 9 sessions around recent analyst actions, with a 5.0% median absolute move.
Truist Securities downgrades OLLI and sets an $80 price target. Historically, around recent analyst actions, OLLI’s median absolute session move was 2.5%, finishing higher 3 of 9 times.
Truist Securities downgrades Antero Resources (AR) and sets a $52 price target. Historically, AR’s median absolute session move around recent analyst actions is 1.8%, finishing higher 7 of 13 times.
Jul 8, 2026: GLOO rose +4.7% after pricing a public offering; ASND gained +4.5% on new trial data; ABNB fell -2.9% after a Form 4 filing; VALE slipped -2.2% on regulatory clarifications.
RBC downgraded Alamos Gold (AGI) with a $42.00 price target. Historically, AGI’s median absolute move around recent analyst actions is 2.5%, finishing higher 7 of 15 times.
Piper Sandler downgrades AeroVironment (AVAV) with a $235 price target. Historically across 10 recent analyst-action sessions, AVAV’s median absolute move was 4.4%, finishing higher 5 of 10 times.
Piper Sandler downgrades Hershey (HSY) with a $200 price target. Historically, HSY’s median absolute session move around recent analyst actions is 1.0%, finishing higher 7 of 11 times.
JPMorgan downgrades Costco (COST) with a $1,100 price target. Historically, COST’s median absolute move around recent analyst actions was 1.5%, finishing higher 6 of 9 times.
Gloo Holdings (GLOO) priced a 7,000,000-share public offering at $3.25. The stock rose 4.7% on Jul 8, 2026.
Airbnb filed a Form 4 beneficial ownership update. ABNB fell 2.9% on Jul 8, 2026 as traders digested the insider-ownership filing.
UBS downgrades Partners Group (PGPHF) to Neutral with a CHF 705 price target. Historically, PGPHF’s median absolute session move around recent analyst actions was 1.6%, finishing higher 9 of 15 times.
Ascendis Pharma (ASND) shared Week 104 radiographic data from its pivotal ApproaCH trial of TransCon CNP in children with achondroplasia; shares rose 4.5%.
Levi Strauss reports 8% revenue growth, expands margins, and raises full-year EPS guidance. Here’s how $LEVI has historically moved the next day after earnings: median absolute move 6.1%, up 5 of 8 times.
Wells Fargo downgrades HII to Equal Weight with a $325 price target. Looking at 14 recent analyst-action sessions, HII’s median absolute move was 2.1%, finishing higher 9 times.
Wells Fargo upgrades Old Dominion (ODFL) to Overweight with a $250 price target. Historically, ODFL’s median absolute session move around recent analyst actions was 0.8%, finishing higher 5 of 10 times.
Exane BNP Paribas downgrades PepsiCo (PEP) with a $183 price target. Across 10 recent analyst-action sessions, PEP’s median absolute move was 0.6%, finishing higher 5 of 10 times.
BofA Global Research downgrades Truist Financial Corp (TFC) to Neutral. Historically, TFC’s median absolute session move around recent analyst actions was 1.5%, finishing higher 5 of 10 times.
BofA Global Research downgrades Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) and sets a $145.00 price target. Here’s how WPM has historically moved around recent analyst actions: median absolute move 1.2%, higher 8 of 14 sessions.
BofA Global Research downgrades Royal Gold (RGLD) with a $209 price target. Historically, RGLD’s median absolute session move around recent analyst actions was 2.0%, finishing higher 5 of 12 times.
BofA Global Research downgrades Newmont (NEM) and sets a $132.00 price target. Here’s how NEM has historically moved around recent analyst actions: median absolute move 1.2%, higher 6 of 14 sessions.
BofA Global Research downgrades Franco-Nevada (FNV) with a $238 price target. Historically, FNV’s median absolute session move around recent analyst actions is 1.2%, finishing higher 8 of 14 times.
BofA Global Research downgrades Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd (AEM) with a $240.00 price target. Historically, AEM’s median absolute session move around recent analyst actions is 1.1%, finishing higher 7 of 16 times.
SARATOGA INVESTMENT CORP. NEW reported Q1 declines in NAV and NII while maintaining strong credit quality and $197 million in investment capacity. Historically, $SAR’s median absolute next-day move after similar reports is 2.2%, with 3 of 8 higher.
MSM beat with 7.8% sales growth. Historically across 5 earnings, the median absolute next-day move was 3.7%, with the stock higher 2 of 5 times.
Beyond Air reported 107% revenue growth to $7.7M. Here’s how $XAIR has moved the next day after past earnings reports: median absolute move 6.5%, up 2 of 7 times.
News-driven stock movers for Jul 7, 2026, led by FuelCell Energy’s stock offering and a sharp drop in Rivian. See the day’s biggest market-adjusted moves and the headlines behind them.
Jefferies upgrades Prog Holdings (PRG) to Buy with a $60 price target. Historically, PRG’s median absolute session move around recent analyst actions is 2.4%, finishing higher 5 of 8 times.
JPMorgan downgrades Pfizer (PFE) with a $28.00 price target. Here’s how PFE has historically moved on recent analyst-action days: median absolute move 1.5%, higher 8 of 15 sessions.
FuelCell Energy priced an upsized public offering of 10,714,286 shares at $21.00 each. FCEL fell 7.6% on Jul 7, 2026.
Marubeni said it completed the sale of its Big Foot oil and gas interests in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico. MARA fell 4.9% the same day.
Rivian (RIVN) priced a 75M-share offering at $15.50 to raise about $1.2B in gross proceeds. The stock fell 6.7% on Jul 7, 2026.
Jefferies downgrades RxSight (RXST) to Hold with a $6.50 price target. Historically, RXST’s median absolute move around recent analyst actions was 3.5%, finishing higher in 4 of 8 sessions.
Barclays upgrades Daimler Truck (DTRUY) to Overweight with a EUR 55 price target. Historically, around recent analyst actions, DTRUY’s median absolute session move was 1.4%, finishing higher 3 of 8 times.
Morgan Stanley downgrades Leonardo (FINMY) with an Overweight rating and EUR 80 price target. Historically, FINMY’s median absolute session move around recent analyst actions was 2.4%, finishing higher 3 of 8 times.
UBS downgrades Capital One Financial (COF) with a Buy rating and $275.00 target. Historically, COF’s median absolute move around recent analyst actions was 2.5%, finishing higher 3 of 9 sessions.
UBS downgrades CrowdStrike (Buy, $235 PT). Here’s how $CRWD has historically moved around recent analyst actions: median absolute move 2.8%, higher 2 of 5 sessions.
UBS downgrades Goldman Sachs (GS) to Neutral and sets a $1,120 price target. Historically, GS has posted a 1.2% median absolute session move around recent analyst actions, finishing higher 4 of 12 times.
UBS downgrades JPMorgan (Buy, $384.00 target). Here’s how $JPM has moved around recent analyst actions: median absolute move 1.0%, higher 4 of 9 sessions; biggest up +2.6%, biggest down -4.2%.
ustiger upgrades Coinbase (COIN) to Buy with a $200 price target. Historically, COIN’s median absolute move around recent analyst actions was 2.1%, finishing higher 1 out of 8 times.
ustiger upgrades Circle Internet (CRCL) to Buy with a $100 price target. Historically, CRCL’s median absolute move around recent analyst actions was 4.4%, finishing higher 6 of 12 sessions.
Wells Fargo downgrades Comcast (CMCSA) with a $28 price target. Historically, CMCSA’s median absolute session move around recent analyst actions was 2.0%, finishing higher 6 of 13 times.
BofA Global Research downgrades Northern Trust (NTRS) with a $200 price target. Historically around recent analyst actions, NTRS’ median absolute session move was 1.5%, finishing higher 6 of 12 times.
BofA Global Research upgrades State Street (STT) with a $190 price target. Historically across 12 recent analyst-action sessions, STT’s median absolute move was 1.8%, finishing higher 6 of 12 times.
BofA Global Research downgrades Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) with a $165 price target. Historically, BNY was higher in 4 of its last 4 similar sessions; median absolute move 1.4%.
Vishay unveiled its 34 PHE multi-turn absolute position sensor with ±1% linearity and 1° resolution. VSH fell 4.7% on Jul 2, 2026.
BofA Global Research downgrades Citigroup (C) and sets a $176 price target. Historically, C’s median absolute session move around recent analyst actions was 1.5%, finishing higher 4 of the last 10 instances.
BofA Global Research downgrades Morgan Stanley (MS) with a $250 price target. Historically, MS has had a 1.5% median absolute session move around recent analyst actions and finished higher 7 of 11 times.
BofA Global Research downgraded iHeartMedia (IHRT) with a $5.00 price target. Here’s how IHRT has historically moved around its recent analyst actions: median absolute move 2.5%, higher 1 of 4 sessions.
Greenbrier reported solid Q3 earnings with resilient margins, strategic leasing growth, and narrowed fiscal 2026 guidance. Here’s how $GBX has historically moved the next day after similar earnings reports (median abs move 1.8%; higher 2 of 4).
Franklin Covey reported 1% Q3 revenue growth, citing strong North America demand while managing state funding delays in education. Here’s how $FC has historically moved the next day after similar reports.
Culp reported 7.6% quarterly sales growth and projected $20M in annual savings. Historically, $CULP’s median absolute next-day move after earnings is 4.6%, with shares higher 1 of 9 times.
OMER is up +11.8%. Looking at 38 recent regulatory/legal announcement precedents across the market: median absolute move was 0.7%, with 15 of 38 higher; biggest up +7.3%, biggest down -11.3%.
SECZ fell -7.7% after “Tokenizing SECZ: Securitize Brings Its Own Public Stock Onchain at Listing Day.” In 40 similar capital-markets announcements, the median absolute move was 0.7%, with 28 of 40 higher.
Daily roundup of the biggest news-driven, market-adjusted stock movers on Jul 6, 2026, led by ADAG, AMA-U, and OMER.
Constellation Brands ($STZ) kept cautious guidance despite positive trends. Here’s how the stock has historically moved after earnings: median absolute next-day move 4.5%, up 5 of the last 7 reports.
Nike flagged ongoing inventory challenges and reiterated a gradual FY27 recovery message. Here’s how $NKE has historically reacted to earnings: median absolute next-day move 6.4% (up 3 of last 7).
AbbVie posted Q1 adjusted EPS of $2.65 and raised its 2026 outlook on Skyrizi/Rinvoq strength. Here’s how $ABBV has historically reacted to earnings: median absolute next-day move 3.8%, higher 3 of 5.
AeroVironment (AVAV) posted record FY26 revenue, doubled Titan orders, and guided ~10% FY27 growth. Here’s how the stock has historically moved after earnings: median absolute next-day move 9.9%, up 3 of 6 times.
Micron posted record Q1 revenue and raised 2026 guidance on tight supply and record HBM demand. Here are $MU’s historical next-day and 1-week moves after earnings (n=6), plus base-rate stats.
Broadcom ($AVGO) posted record AI revenue and guided to ~$56B for 2026. Here’s how the stock has historically reacted to earnings: median absolute next-day move 9.4%, up 4 of the last 7 reports.
JPMorgan Chase posted Q1 net income of $16.5B on $50.5B revenue. Here’s how $JPM has historically moved after earnings, including the median absolute next-day move and the share of reports that finished higher.
Goldman Sachs (GS) posted Q1 revenue of $15.1B and EPS of $14.12 and raised its buyback to $40B. Here’s how $GS has historically reacted after earnings: next-day and one-week moves across recent reports, plus base-rate stats.
Progress Software ($PRGS) beat Q2 and raised its full-year revenue outlook on accelerating AI-driven demand. Here’s how the stock has historically moved after earnings: median absolute next-day move 10.6%, up 4 of 7 times.
Adagene Inc. published a company overview highlighting its antibody design and discovery focus. ADAG fell 11.5% on Jul 6, 2026.
Alterity Therapeutics said FDA end-of-Phase 2 minutes confirm a registrational pathway for ATH434 in multiple system atrophy. ATHE rose 7.3%.
Omeros (OMER) said the EMA’s CHMP adopted a negative opinion on its narsoplimab application for TA-TMA. The stock rose +11.8% on Jul 6, 2026.
Charter’s Spectrum expanded its fiber broadband network in Licking County, Ohio, adding service access for 680+ locations. CHTR rose 3.0%.
Infineon opened its new “Smart Power Fab” in Dresden, a 5 billion euro power semiconductor and analog/mixed-signal facility. $IFNNY fell 3.3%.
Lam Research (LRCX) filed a Form 144 notice for a proposed sale of securities. Shares fell 3.8% on Jul 2, 2026.
Calix (CALX) faced a securities fraud class action notice with a July 27 lead plaintiff deadline. The stock rose 3.8% on Jul 2, 2026.
KLA (KLAC) filed a Form 144 notice of a proposed sale of securities. Shares fell 3.7% on Jul 2, 2026.
Valeo said its Angers site completed a modernization plan to build complex next-gen lighting systems. VLEEY rose 3.8% on Jul 2, 2026.
Securitize said it’s bringing its own newly listed SECZ common stock onchain via its regulated platform. The stock fell 7.7% on Jul 2, 2026.
News-driven stock movers for Jul 2, 2026, led by Valeo’s plant update and Fox River’s completed arrangement, with Amazon pressured by a product recall headline.
KLAC fell 4.1% to $245.74 (−3.8% vs SPY) after a Form 144 filing and despite better-than-expected fiscal Q3 results. This month, Morgan Stanley, BofA, Citi, Goldman, and Susquehanna raised or reiterated targets up to $317.
How $AVAV has traded after its last 5 earnings reports: median next-day move 7.0%, higher 2 of 5 times, ranging +21.6% to -12.9%.
Lam Research (LRCX) fell 3.8% after a Form 144 notice of proposed sale of securities. Here’s what the Street is saying on price targets and how LRCX has moved around earnings historically.
How $PRGS has traded after its last 6 earnings reports: median next-day move 10.2%, higher 3 of 6 times, ranging +12.1% to -13.0%.
How $STZ has traded after its last 6 earnings reports: median next-day move 4.9%, higher 5 of 6 times, ranging +8.5% to -17.1%.
How $NKE has moved after its last 6 earnings reports: median next-day swing 8.5%, higher only 2 of 6 times, ranging +15.2% to -15.5%.