$REFI after outlook/merger headlines: the historical next-day base rate
How REFI has reacted before
| Report | Next-day move |
|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | +1.2% |
| Mar 2026 | -0.5% |
| Nov 2025 | -1.3% |
| May 2025 | +0.4% |
| Mar 2025 | -3.5% |
| Nov 2024 | +1.2% |
| Sep 2024 | +0.4% |
Median absolute move 1.2% · higher 4 of 7 · n=7
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. ($REFI) reports a conservative outlook, merger plans, and potential for significant yield upside despite regulatory uncertainties.
How $REFI has reacted to earnings
| Report | Next-day |
|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | +1.2% |
| Mar 2026 | -0.5% |
| Nov 2025 | -1.3% |
| May 2025 | +0.4% |
| Mar 2025 | -3.5% |
| Nov 2024 | +1.2% |
| Sep 2024 | +0.4% |
Base rate (n=7):
- Median absolute next-day move: 1.2%
- Next-day higher: 4 of 7
- Biggest next-day up: +1.2%
- Biggest next-day down: -3.5%