$STZ earnings setup: what the post-report tape has looked like
Constellation Brands reports fiscal Q1 (FY27) earnings, before the open. Here's how $STZ has traded after recent earnings reports - presented as distributions, not a call.
The track record
| Report | Next-day | 1-week |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2025 | -17.1% | -15.8% |
| Apr 2025 | +0.7% | -0.2% |
| Jul 2025 | +4.5% | +1.6% |
| Oct 2025 | +1.0% | +2.0% |
| Jan 2026 | +5.3% | +11.3% |
| Apr 2026 | +8.5% | +9.1% |
The base rate
- Sample size (n): 6
- Median absolute next-day move: 4.9%
- Closed higher next day: 5 of 6
- Average next-day move: +0.5%
- Average 1-week move: +1.3%
- Biggest next-day up: +8.5%
- Biggest next-day down: -17.1%